场景:您的数据分析团队已将某个电子商务网站的 Google Analytics 日志导出到 BigQuery,并新建了包含所有电子商务访问者会话原始数据的表供您探索。您需要使用这些数据尝试回答几个问题。
问题:在访问我们网站的所有访问者中,有百分之多少购买了商品?
请复制以下查询并将其粘贴到 BigQuery 编辑器中:
#standardSQL
WITH visitors AS(
SELECT
COUNT(DISTINCT fullVisitorId) AS total_visitors
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
),
purchasers AS(
SELECT
COUNT(DISTINCT fullVisitorId) AS total_purchasers
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
WHERE totals.transactions IS NOT NULL
)
SELECT
total_visitors,
total_purchasers,
total_purchasers / total_visitors AS conversion_rate
FROM visitors, purchasers
点击运行。
结果:2.69%
问题:哪 5 种商品最畅销?
清除之前的查询,然后在编辑器中添加以下查询:
SELECT
p.v2ProductName,
p.v2ProductCategory,
SUM(p.productQuantity) AS units_sold,
ROUND(SUM(p.localProductRevenue/1000000),2) AS revenue
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`,
UNNEST(hits) AS h,
UNNEST(h.product) AS p
GROUP BY 1, 2
ORDER BY revenue DESC
LIMIT 5;
# visitors who bought on a return visit (could have bought on first as well
WITH all_visitor_stats AS (
SELECT
fullvisitorid, # 741,721 unique visitors
IF(COUNTIF(totals.transactions > 0 AND totals.newVisits IS NULL) > 0, 1, 0) AS will_buy_on_return_visit
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
GROUP BY fullvisitorid
)
SELECT
COUNT(DISTINCT fullvisitorid) AS total_visitors,
will_buy_on_return_visit
FROM all_visitor_stats
GROUP BY will_buy_on_return_visit
SELECT
* EXCEPT(fullVisitorId)
FROM
# features
(SELECT
fullVisitorId,
IFNULL(totals.bounces, 0) AS bounces,
IFNULL(totals.timeOnSite, 0) AS time_on_site
FROM
`data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
WHERE
totals.newVisits = 1)
JOIN
(SELECT
fullvisitorid,
IF(COUNTIF(totals.transactions > 0 AND totals.newVisits IS NULL) > 0, 1, 0) AS will_buy_on_return_visit
FROM
`data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
GROUP BY fullvisitorid)
USING (fullVisitorId)
ORDER BY time_on_site DESC
LIMIT 10;
CREATE OR REPLACE MODEL `ecommerce.classification_model`
OPTIONS
(
model_type='logistic_reg',
labels = ['will_buy_on_return_visit']
)
AS
#standardSQL
SELECT
* EXCEPT(fullVisitorId)
FROM
# features
(SELECT
fullVisitorId,
IFNULL(totals.bounces, 0) AS bounces,
IFNULL(totals.timeOnSite, 0) AS time_on_site
FROM
`data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
WHERE
totals.newVisits = 1
AND date BETWEEN '20160801' AND '20170430') # train on first 9 months
JOIN
(SELECT
fullvisitorid,
IF(COUNTIF(totals.transactions > 0 AND totals.newVisits IS NULL) > 0, 1, 0) AS will_buy_on_return_visit
FROM
`data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
GROUP BY fullvisitorid)
USING (fullVisitorId)
;
等待模型完成训练(5 - 10 分钟)。
注意:不能在训练期间将您的所有可用数据都馈送给模型,因为需要保留一些模型未见过的数据点来对其进行评估和测试。要完成此操作,请通过添加 WHERE 子句条件来筛选您 12 个月的数据集中前 9 个月的访问数据,并仅利用这部分数据进行训练。
SELECT
roc_auc,
CASE
WHEN roc_auc > .9 THEN 'good'
WHEN roc_auc > .8 THEN 'fair'
WHEN roc_auc > .7 THEN 'decent'
WHEN roc_auc > .6 THEN 'not great'
ELSE 'poor' END AS model_quality
FROM
ML.EVALUATE(MODEL ecommerce.classification_model, (
SELECT
* EXCEPT(fullVisitorId)
FROM
# features
(SELECT
fullVisitorId,
IFNULL(totals.bounces, 0) AS bounces,
IFNULL(totals.timeOnSite, 0) AS time_on_site
FROM
`data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
WHERE
totals.newVisits = 1
AND date BETWEEN '20170501' AND '20170630') # eval on 2 months
JOIN
(SELECT
fullvisitorid,
IF(COUNTIF(totals.transactions > 0 AND totals.newVisits IS NULL) > 0, 1, 0) AS will_buy_on_return_visit
FROM
`data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
GROUP BY fullvisitorid)
USING (fullVisitorId)
));
CREATE OR REPLACE MODEL `ecommerce.classification_model_2`
OPTIONS
(model_type='logistic_reg', labels = ['will_buy_on_return_visit']) AS
WITH all_visitor_stats AS (
SELECT
fullvisitorid,
IF(COUNTIF(totals.transactions > 0 AND totals.newVisits IS NULL) > 0, 1, 0) AS will_buy_on_return_visit
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
GROUP BY fullvisitorid
)
# add in new features
SELECT * EXCEPT(unique_session_id) FROM (
SELECT
CONCAT(fullvisitorid, CAST(visitId AS STRING)) AS unique_session_id,
# labels
will_buy_on_return_visit,
MAX(CAST(h.eCommerceAction.action_type AS INT64)) AS latest_ecommerce_progress,
# behavior on the site
IFNULL(totals.bounces, 0) AS bounces,
IFNULL(totals.timeOnSite, 0) AS time_on_site,
IFNULL(totals.pageviews, 0) AS pageviews,
# where the visitor came from
trafficSource.source,
trafficSource.medium,
channelGrouping,
# mobile or desktop
device.deviceCategory,
# geographic
IFNULL(geoNetwork.country, "") AS country
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`,
UNNEST(hits) AS h
JOIN all_visitor_stats USING(fullvisitorid)
WHERE 1=1
# only predict for new visits
AND totals.newVisits = 1
AND date BETWEEN '20160801' AND '20170430' # train 9 months
GROUP BY
unique_session_id,
will_buy_on_return_visit,
bounces,
time_on_site,
totals.pageviews,
trafficSource.source,
trafficSource.medium,
channelGrouping,
device.deviceCategory,
country
);
注意:对于此新模型,您同样使用前 9 个月的数据进行训练。使用同一个训练数据集很重要,这样您才能确定更好的模型输出归因于更好的输入特征,而不是新的或不同的训练数据。
#standardSQL
SELECT
roc_auc,
CASE
WHEN roc_auc > .9 THEN 'good'
WHEN roc_auc > .8 THEN 'fair'
WHEN roc_auc > .7 THEN 'decent'
WHEN roc_auc > .6 THEN 'not great'
ELSE 'poor' END AS model_quality
FROM
ML.EVALUATE(MODEL ecommerce.classification_model_2, (
WITH all_visitor_stats AS (
SELECT
fullvisitorid,
IF(COUNTIF(totals.transactions > 0 AND totals.newVisits IS NULL) > 0, 1, 0) AS will_buy_on_return_visit
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
GROUP BY fullvisitorid
)
# add in new features
SELECT * EXCEPT(unique_session_id) FROM (
SELECT
CONCAT(fullvisitorid, CAST(visitId AS STRING)) AS unique_session_id,
# labels
will_buy_on_return_visit,
MAX(CAST(h.eCommerceAction.action_type AS INT64)) AS latest_ecommerce_progress,
# behavior on the site
IFNULL(totals.bounces, 0) AS bounces,
IFNULL(totals.timeOnSite, 0) AS time_on_site,
totals.pageviews,
# where the visitor came from
trafficSource.source,
trafficSource.medium,
channelGrouping,
# mobile or desktop
device.deviceCategory,
# geographic
IFNULL(geoNetwork.country, "") AS country
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`,
UNNEST(hits) AS h
JOIN all_visitor_stats USING(fullvisitorid)
WHERE 1=1
# only predict for new visits
AND totals.newVisits = 1
AND date BETWEEN '20170501' AND '20170630' # eval 2 months
GROUP BY
unique_session_id,
will_buy_on_return_visit,
bounces,
time_on_site,
totals.pageviews,
trafficSource.source,
trafficSource.medium,
channelGrouping,
device.deviceCategory,
country
)
));
输出如下:
Row
roc_auc
model_quality
1
0.9094875124875125
good
通过这一新模型,您现在获得了 0.91 的 roc_auc,较第一个模型有显著改善。
现在,您有了经训练的模型,可以进行预测了。
点击检查我的进度以验证是否完成了以下目标:
通过特征工程改进模型性能(更好的预测能力)
任务 8. 预测哪些新访问者会再次访问并购物
接下来,您将编写查询来预测哪些新访问者会再次访问并购物。
下面的预测查询使用改进后的分类模型来预测 Google Merchandise Store 初访者在后续访问中购物的可能性:
SELECT
*
FROM
ml.PREDICT(MODEL `ecommerce.classification_model_2`,
(
WITH all_visitor_stats AS (
SELECT
fullvisitorid,
IF(COUNTIF(totals.transactions > 0 AND totals.newVisits IS NULL) > 0, 1, 0) AS will_buy_on_return_visit
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`
GROUP BY fullvisitorid
)
SELECT
CONCAT(fullvisitorid, '-',CAST(visitId AS STRING)) AS unique_session_id,
# labels
will_buy_on_return_visit,
MAX(CAST(h.eCommerceAction.action_type AS INT64)) AS latest_ecommerce_progress,
# behavior on the site
IFNULL(totals.bounces, 0) AS bounces,
IFNULL(totals.timeOnSite, 0) AS time_on_site,
totals.pageviews,
# where the visitor came from
trafficSource.source,
trafficSource.medium,
channelGrouping,
# mobile or desktop
device.deviceCategory,
# geographic
IFNULL(geoNetwork.country, "") AS country
FROM `data-to-insights.ecommerce.web_analytics`,
UNNEST(hits) AS h
JOIN all_visitor_stats USING(fullvisitorid)
WHERE
# only predict for new visits
totals.newVisits = 1
AND date BETWEEN '20170701' AND '20170801' # test 1 month
GROUP BY
unique_session_id,
will_buy_on_return_visit,
bounces,
time_on_site,
totals.pageviews,
trafficSource.source,
trafficSource.medium,
channelGrouping,
device.deviceCategory,
country
)
)
ORDER BY
predicted_will_buy_on_return_visit DESC;
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上次更新手册的时间:2024 年 2 月 7 日
上次测试实验的时间:2023 年 10 月 9 日
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